BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 78 Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 147.99
Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-04-2026 Away L * 126.04 0 39 1A 31 (6-1) Southern Cal -23.22 -9.54 -15.78
2 09-12-2026 Home W * 156.86 49 3 1A 138 (1-6) Sacramento St 7.60 * 0.26 38.40
3 09-19-2026 Away W * 154.28 26 10 1A 122 (4-3) San Jose St 5.02 7.40 10.98
4 09-26-2026 Home W * 147.84 38 24 1A 111 (1-6) Rice -1.42 -3.67 15.42
5 10-03-2026 Away W * * 163.45 26 6 1A 99 (1-6) Washington St 14.19 4.45 5.81
6 10-10-2026 Home L * * 154.63 31 38 1A 33 (5-1) Boise St 5.37 -17.57 -12.37
7 10-17-2026 Away L * * 141.72 23 26 1A 106 (3-4) San Diego St -7.53 6.54 4.53
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 22 (5-2) Oregon St -17.21
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 104 (2-4) Utah St 5.79
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 62 (3-3) Texas St-San Marcos -6.74
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 98 (2-4) Colorado St 9.52
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 106 (3-4) San Diego St 11.72
Averages 149.26 27.6 20.9
Best game: 163.45 = 20 point win over Washington St
Worst game: 126.04 = 39 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev: 12.32